The National Party meltdown

Further damage from the 2025 Australian federal election, David Littleproud, the leader of the National Party announced he was dissolving the Liberal Party and National Party coalition over policy differences. The 2025 federal election was a disaster for the Liberal Party under the leadership of Peter Dutton who personally lost his seat of Dickson in the rout. Interestingly, the Liberal Party lost the majority of their inner city seats with the National Party retaining their rural seats and achieved a swing towards the party.

To be fair to David Littleproud, this is not the first time the significantly smaller National Party has broken away from the more dominant Liberal Party. The last time this occurred was in 1987 over policy issues. Former Prime Minister John Howard was the Leader of the Opposition during the last breakaway in 1987 leading the way for Bob Hawke to clinch a third consecutive election victory. What David Littleproud was trying to achieve in this public fight is unsure, this should have occurred in private between the National Party and Liberal Party. A week later, Littleproud reestablished a coalition after consultation with Sussan Ley whom I believe is starting her leadership of the party in a positive manner despite Littleproud undermining her authority.

This 1987 breakdown in the coalition stemmed from the 1986 Joh for PM campaign where ultra conservative Joh Bjelke-Petersen, the Queensland Premier from 1968 to 1987 made a run for federal office. Joh aggressively disliked the socialist Bob Hawke and firmly believed his brand of conservative politics could transform from a state level to a national state. The Labor Party under Prime Minister Bob Hawke and Treasurer Paul Keating were behind in the polls and viewed as under pressure looking to lose the upcoming election. The destabalising Joh for PM campaign quickly turned around the Labor Party fortunes and handed the Hawke/Keating government victory.

The National Party is the country party, they address rural issues and is especially important since the majority of Australians live in cities on the coast. Therefore, the National Party holds an important position representing the people of Australia who do not live in the cities. The National Party generally represents more conservative voters from the country whilst I believe the Liberal Party needs to become less conservative and move back to its liberal views. This will have some issues between conservatives and liberals, but they need to overcome these differences.

To be fair to incoming Liberal Party leader Sussan Ley, she has just taken over the party leadership from Peter Dutton and publicly stated that all Liberal Party policies are open for review. What we learned from the election is that the Liberal Party are out of touch with contemporary Australian viewpoints and need to overhaul policies to make them a) electable, b) relevant, and c) pursuing policies in the best interests of Australians. The Liberal National coalition needs to offer Australians an alternative approach and very specific policies. It is my belief that the Liberal Party is being too conservative [or right wing] and needs to return to more centrist liberal policies.

Putin is stringing Trump along

I have been following the news intently and trying to decipher the official Russian statements. Zelensky was scheduled to meet Putin in Istanbul on the previous Sunday, even Trump who is in the middle east was indicating he would attend the meeting. 

Now at time of writing it appears Putin is looking to pull out of the meeting and Trump is looking silly. I was fully expecting Putin would not be attending the meeting and send instead an envoy who will not have decision-making powers. This would be a classic limited authority negotiating strategy designed to stall the negotiation yet try to indicate they are negotiating in good faith when nothing of the sort is occurring.

It is slowly dawning on Trump that Putin does not want this war to end, Trump is starting to work out, Putin is stringing him along, Trump is getting played and now he knows it. So what are the fundamentals here? Putin still believes that Ukraine should be owned by Russia, they want the land and the resources, they want to annihilate the Ukrainian population. Putin and his Russian followers fully believe they are superior to Ukrainians in every way, shape and form. 

The Russian military, despite holding approximately a quarter of Ukrainian territory, is not moving forward. What the Ukrainian front line is doing is slowly withdrawing, this is intentional and they are creating large Russian losses in the process. This is having a destabalising effect on Russian troop morale, causing discontent in the ranks and this is filtering through back home through modern communications. 

So why does Putin want to not give up in Ukraine? Well, apart from his intense hatred of Zelensky and the Ukrainian people, the Russian economy is now restructured as a wartime economy. There is a good to fair chance the economy will collapse if an immediate ceasefire is reached and Putin knows this. Interest rates in Russia are around 20%, all production is aligned to fighting Ukraine and a whole chunk of the productive Russian population has seconded overseas so they are not drafted into the military. 

The Iranian surprise attack

I woke on Sunday morning and opened my computer to check the news. To my surprise I learned US President Donald Trump ordered an airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities. So Trump had given the ok to Operation Midnight Hammer forgoing a diplomatic solution.

At this point details were sketchy, what I learned was a mission had taken place and the US aircraft had left Iranian air space without detection or interception. The US flew B-2 Spirit bombers of the 509th Bomb Wing from Whiteman air force base in Missouri, this is the only air force base in the US. All 19 B-2 stealth bombers are based at Whiteman, although the B-2 may be temporarily based at Diego Garcia or Guam for short periods.

There was deception with a group of B-2 bombers flying towards Diego Garcia with transponders active as a decoy operation. The strike group of seven aircraft flew with complete radio silence from a different direction with multiple mid air refuelling and had escort aircraft at different times. I was astonished at the number of aircraft used in the mission and the degree of coordination required. Much of this information was learned from the Defence Department briefing and I would be interested to learn how much real information was omitted.

Prior to entering Iranian airspace, US submarines in the region launched tomahawk cruise missiles towards air defence targets. The B-2 strike group dropped 14 GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs were dropped on the Fordow and Natanz sites. Two GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrators [MOP] 13,600 kg tungsten tipped gravity bombs are carried on each B-2 bomber. The Esfahan site was hit with cruise missiles only causing extensive damage. This is the first time the GBU-57 has been used in combat with the US claiming the bomb can travel 60 metres underground on the first charge before detonating although I would expect these specifications to be conservative.

The Alpina Alpine Extreme Automatic

I have seen Alpina for sale in smaller retailers in Perth, Singapore and Manila. This is not a well known Swiss brand that has a high degree of brand awareness and brand recognition. For me, it is a little difficult to review as I have a hard time trying on models in showrooms. Founded in 1883 by Gottieb Hauser as Alpina Union Horlogère, Alpina has been around for a significant timeframe that should carry some degree of prestige at least.

The case shape is extraordinary, the cushion shaped case design is symmetric, the round flat screwed brushed bezel accentuates the case shape yet maintains the Gerald Genta inspired design of an integrated bracelet architecture. The bezel screws have a triangle centre that resembles the Alpina triangle. The angled lugs are designed for an integrated bracelet; however, a rubber strap works well on this occasion. I have learnt the drawbacks of a less than stellar bracelet on more value orientated models, so a rubber strap interests me on these sports models.

The dial is reversing interlocking triangles, the applied index markers with a double marker at 12 o’clock. The red triangle on the second hand offers good contrast on the dial, the straight index markers work well with the angled chapter ring. The second markings on the chapter ring free the dial from clutter. The Alpina name, logo and Geneva/date reference under the 12 o’clock marker are clean, with only an automatic marking under that hand pivot.

The power plant is a SW200, a Sellita 26 jewel automatic movement with 38 hour power reserve beating at 28,000 vph with an Alpina rotor. Since the Swatch Group limited the availability of ETA movements to non-Swatch Group watch manufacturers, Sellita movements are fast becoming industry standard. Sellita provides a number of movements with a varying degree of finishing, typically Sellita provides a dedicated rotor to allow viewing through a display caseback.

The reputation of Sellita has improved dramatically, I tend to believe this was a poorly conceived strategy by Swatch management, they have offered Selitta the opportunity to increase market share and increase brand recognition. The increased sales has allowed Selitta to offer improved versions with quality advances. This is a reasonable quality movement built on ETA architecture that has an ease of supply with no restrictions, it was inevitable that Sellita would seek to unseat ETA at some stage with quality improvements and greater brand recognition.

Finally getting a Tissot Petite Seconde

Whilst Tissot is an entry-level Swiss watch brand, they have some pretty decent products. Whilst I prefer their vintage inspired timepieces, they have some pretty good contemporary designs. I really like the hand wound movement, the lack of a rotor offers an excellent view of the movement, this is the ETA 6498-1 with 17 jewels, a solid mechanical movement.

The Petite Seconde is an excellent example of a 1948 vintage inspired timepiece. I saw some pictures online, so I decided to check out what they had to offer. There is an exhibition caseback to view the hand wound movement. The ETA 6498-1 automatic movement is well finished, I would argue better than standard Tissot automatic movements. My father has a Visodate with the Swatch Group ETA 2824-2, the winding rotor is Tissot but the finish is reasonably standard.

I have an Everytime Swissmatic and the display caseback shows a very low-cost and highly ordinary automatic movement with what am guessing is black plastic bridges. The general finish of the much cheaper Everytime Swissmatic is ordinary at best. The overall finish of the Petite Seconde is much improved, one has to appreciate this vintage timepiece is set at a higher price range and an unfair comparison shouldn’t be made. I am looking for a decent dress watch, very different from the usual dive and tool watch I normally wear.

I love illy Classico Nespresso

At home I have a Nespresso machine, it is an easy way to make a reasonable quality coffee without the need to dispose of coffee grounds. My first real coffee machine was a 15 psi DeLonghi manual pump coffee machine, I loved it for 15 years and when it was starting to get a little old I moved it down to our weekend house. So my DeLonghi manual pump coffee machine still gets a run on the weekends I am down the house.

illy Classico [Nespresso]

The machine came with some complimentary illy coffee pads, I believe they were pretty common in Europe but a little difficult to source in Australia. I managed to purchase some coffee pads, they were not the right size for the dedicated holder and did not work as well as I expected so I gave away the idea of coffee pads. At the time I was purchasing locally produced Brazilliano coffee and was pretty happy.

We could not source illy coffee in Perth, the David Jones department store imported the coffee but the cost was outrageous so I limited my illy coffee consumption to trips to Europe or South East Asia. Ironic really, it was easy to source in Asia and not in Australia, fortunately, this would not last forever.

First the major supermarkets carried both ground and whole illy beans, this competition halved the cost of illy beans and people started to appreciate the intense flavours. Finally, illy Nespresso pods were released in Australia and this changed my buying habits. No longer did I need to go to a Nespresso shop to purchase their coffee pods, I could just pick up some illy Classico at my local supermarket, pop them in the machine and have quality coffee at home.

Finally saw the Goo Goo Dolls live

So, after a twenty year absence, the Goo Goo Dolls finally returned to Perth. So their last trip must have been in 2014, I vaguely remember being overseas at the time. I could not go and see them back then, I had missed my chance to see the Goo Goo Dolls in concert and was pretty annoyed with the timing.

So I was pretty happy to be finally able to see the Goo Goo Dolls, even if they were not the main act. As the lead-in to Matchbox Twenty, the Goo Goo Dolls started at 7.30, we could see their countdown timers from our seats, we were in the back rows of the stadium so we looked down from our high vantage point. Our seats were way back so we had a pretty high view of the arena so we could see everything going on down on the stage.

I thought it might be just a thirty minute set when they started with Slide as their second song, one of their better known songs. The Goo Goo Dolls are known worldwide for their hit song Iris from the Dizzy up the Girl album. I gave this album to my then girlfriend at Perth International Airport just as she was leaving me to return to her country. Her name was Iris, so it really struck a chord with her, this was her favourite album.

So this was a big concert for me, I waited years for the Goo Goo Dolls to return to Perth. I was overseas when they were here last time so this was a big deal for me. I was excited to be there, I could have left after the Goo Goo Dolls walked off, however, Matchbox Twenty was the headline act so I was happy to hang around for the next show. As it turned out, the Goo Goo Dolls played 15 songs with their last song of the evening being Iris, we had all their hits from Black Balloon, Here is Gone, Symphony, Name, Better Days, and Broadway.

Running my self-managed superannuation fund

I opened my self-managed superannuation fund way back in 1994 after being totally dissatisfied with the high fee, low return privately managed retirement fund environment. Even to close down and transfer my benefit into my self-managed superannuation fund was going to result in a significant fee based on a percentage of my balance. My old style 1980s era superannuation account was set up to benefit the adviser and not me.

I made a bad decision as an eighteen year old but was able to atone for my mistake as a twenty five year old. Not that a self-managed superannuation fund is cheap to administer. It is 2016 and I haven’t yet taken the financial penalty and transfer my existing funds into my self-managed superannuation fund, the market is in a down turn and against all contemporary advice, I am trying to time the market.

I also maintained a private superannuation fund as the fees were too expensive to warrant exiting early, I also had an industry fund as required by my employment conditions supplementing my self-managed superannuation fund. Running a self-managed superannuation fund is not a cheap option, you need a balance exceeding the average industry fund to see any benefit at all. The advantage of the self-managed superannuation fund is you control your investment mix, you can make investments and you decide on your level of return and ultimately your future.

The crony club

I didn’t want to join the crony club, I believe in values and personal accountability, so this was never going to be the group I was going to compromise myself to become a part of – not at all. Not that I care, I have options and I am now in and out of this establishment. No longer do I have to put up with these kinds of annoyances. What I can say is, I never compromised myself, I never partook in the activities to become a member of the crony club.

I can safely say I wasn’t compromised, this is essential to equip myself for my next roles. There are opportunities available, you can’t be aligned to misappropriation of government funds, misusing government resources or abusing public privileges. In that regard, I can hold my head high, my personal actions were above workplace standards. I was the only member of the staff who had the knowledge and ability to maintain private sector skills and was freely able to move between various sectors.

Operation Spiderweb – a brilliant offensive win

It was around 11.30 pm on a Saturday night, I switched on my social media and was viewing some articles on Threads when I saw breaking news. Ukraine had launched a massive attack on Russian military assets, there was vision of smoke billowing from Russian airfields but details were scarce.

What had transpired was Ukraine had launched a bunch of drones from sea containers driven into place by Russian truck drivers. There was a false top on the containers that popped open at the specified time with drone swarms attacking Russian bombers parked at airfields at multiple Russian locations. Attacked were the Tu-95 Bear bombers, these twin counter-rotating propeller aircraft are the backbone of the Russian nuclear deterrence.

The Tu-95 aircraft are used to launch glide bombs, and hypersonic missiles against targets in Ukraine from the relative safety of Russian borders. Russia does not have air superiority and cannot engage in cluster bombing of Ukrainian cities with gravity bombs. Instead, Russian bomber aircraft have to remain in Russian airspace where they are out of range of Ukrainian missile defences.

What Russia has to deploy is their relatively expensive Kh-101 and Kh-555 missiles against Ukraine. The 3M-54 Kalibr cruise missiles are launched from the Black Sea. The glide bombs are relatively inexpensive glide bomb kits fitted to standard bombs giving these bombs an extended range of around 60 – 70 km. Fighting a war is an expensive business, forcing Russia onto using more expensive weapons puts extra strain on Russian finances, the economy is already under pressure with high interest rates and a large cohort of Russian workers now living outside of the borders of Russia due to the fear of being conscripted to fight on the frontlines of the war.

Not only did Russia lose the irreplaceable Tu-95 bombers, the Tu-160 supersonic bomber was also targeted and destroyed. The Tu-160 is the Russian equivalent of the American B-1 bomber, the Tu-160 has a range of 12,300 kilometers, a speed of Mach 2.05 and can carry a payload of 45,00 kg of ordnance. The Tu-160 was used to launch the Kh-101 cruise missile into Ukraine. 

This is a serious weapon deployed against Ukraine, this is the first time the Tu-160 has been deployed in combat and a serious concern to Ukraine. Now Ukraine has taken out a whole bunch of Russian air power, Putin’s generals are now moving Russian bombers further east to protect their assets allowing Ukraine to dominate Russia again.