United States President Donald Trump is a moron, he is a genuine idiot and is bringing the world to the edge of economic ruin through his ill-thought attack on Iran. We are seeing United States policy published on his social media account, this is not coming from Congress. Allies such as NATO, ANZUS, or the Quad are not consulted or informed, they are just called on to clean up the mess Trump created.

Trump is not a strategic thinker, the United States as a dominant country needs to be predictable, the other powers including China, Russia, and North Korea have to make decisions on a rational United States. How the United States under Donald Trump could not foresee Iran closing down the Strait of Hormuz is a total failure of strategy, there is no strategy. So what does Trump do? Well, he jumps on his social media account bypassing Congress and demands Iran open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours. Trump’s threat is that the United States military will then target energy generation, oil and gas facilities, and other civilian infrastructure that are basically protected under the Geneva Conventions if Iran does not comply with his demands.

Donald Trump has threatened Iran with destruction of the power generation, so this forces Iran to retaliate or surrender. This is unlikely, Iran has been predictable, they will retaliate, they will target the power generation utilities of the Gulf nations. The UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq are understandably nervous, the power generation and oil production facilities are at risk of being targeted. Iran also stated they would target the desalination plants of the gulf nations, that is a major concern and a relatively easy target for them. Naturally, Iran does not expect to beat the might of the United States military, what they are looking to do is hold out against US Forces, cause a huge economic shock to the United States military funding, and cause an energy related worldwide recession. All the international economies need is an external shock, sharemarkets are down 9% in Australia and Wall Street down more.

What we know about Donald Trump is that he is a pseudo strongman, he is in a powerful position, that is true, but we know he is not a bright guy. What is likely is Trump will back down, he will claim Iran is desperately attempting to contact the United States. What we know is Trump’s good mate Steve Witkoff has been trying to contact the Iranian powers, along with family member Jarrad Kushner, the son-in-law of Donald Trump. Now, before we decry nepotism, Kushner has some excellent credentials. Jarrad took over control of Kushner Companies after his father was convicted of 18 charges including tax evasion, witness tampering, and illegal campaign contributions. Guess what, his father Charles Kuschner was pardoned by Donald Trump in 2020. So hopefully we see another TACO [Trump always Chickens Out] backdown, what he will claim is the art of the deal, I would call this the art of the backdown.