I cannot believe the Australian government is calling for a twenty one day ceasefire in the Israel/Hezbollah conflict. After the October 7 surprise attack, Israel was caught off guard from an intelligence perspective, the Israeli intelligence community was really asleep at the wheel.

After the Hezbollah leadership has been wiped out, there is no way Israel should back off now, they have targeted the Hezbollah leadership, wiped them out, taken out their communications network, and destroyed their infrastructure. The calls from the Australian government for a ceasefire is an incredulous move, they have no strategic or tactical nous whatsoever. Why would Israel now stop and allow Hezbollah to regroup to attack them? It really makes no sense, this is the time to enter southern Lebanon to wipe out the Hezbollah threat to Israel.

We all know Iran is behind funding Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthi, they are attacking Israel from multiple fronts. Yes, Israel has US and British support as the US has a carrier battle group in the region as well as access to other bases in the region. Whilst Iran typically acts in a proxy manner, they have been directly attacking Israel with missile barrages in an attempt to overwhelm their missile defence system. Iran has plenty of balistic missiles and drones, they have been supplying Russia with equipment in exchange for assistance with their nuclear proram.

So far, no Iranian forces have directly attacked Israel, they know they will be humiliated in an international sense, their best bet is to destabalise Israel through their sponsored partners. We will see if this conflict escalates to a larger regional conflict, will see if the leadership in Iran works it out and backs down. I suspect not, I tend to think the Iranian leadership will try to escalate the conflict, they will fire more missiles at Israel, the coalition will respond with layered missile defences, then Israel will respond and this will be decisive.